Saturday, October 24, 2026. Atlanta housing, by the numbers. Read time: 5 minutes.

THE NUMBER: 3,322

That's how many single-family homes closed across the 12 core metro Atlanta counties in September, the fewest of any September in GAMLS data going back to 2013. It's 12.7% fewer than last September: about 1 in 8 sales gone, or 482 fewer closings.

But here's the twist. Showings went up 4.2%. The buyers didn't leave. They're just not signing.

Bar chart of single-family closings in metro Atlanta every September from 2013 to 2026. September 2026 is the lowest at 3,322, below 2013's 3,517; the peak was 6,284 in 2020.

3,322 closings, the fewest of any September in the data.

My read

So is that headline true for Atlanta? Yes and no. Yes, sales hit a September low. But the buyers didn't leave. They're just waiting for the right house at the right price, and are taking their time to see many more houses before making a decision.

And I'm seeing it firsthand with our buyer clients. They're being a lot more careful with their money. Back in 2022, they would have stretched for a house that needed work. Now, every dollar counts. So they're picky. And with this much inventory, they can be, and they should be.

Prices aren't crashing. They're flat. What changed is leverage, and that's a very different thing.

If you're selling, the market tells you in the first couple of weeks, and the longer you argue with it, the more it's going to cost you.

What moved

  • Inventory: 16,295 single-family homes for sale, up 4.2% and the most of any September since 2019, even with new listings down 8.9%. (GAMLS)

  • Pricing: The 12-month median is $420,060, against $420,000 a year ago. Flat, almost to the dollar. Half of resale listings (50.3%) have cut their price, by 6.0% on average. (GAMLS, FMLS)

  • Rates and demand: The 30-year fixed averaged 7.40% for the week of Oct 15, up from 6.27% a year ago. On a $420,000 house with 10% down, that's about $285 more a month. Pending sales are down 22.0% on today's count. (Freddie Mac, GAMLS)

Change from September 2025 to September 2026, single family: showings up 4.2%, homes for sale up 4.2%, median price 0.0%, new listings down 8.9%, closed sales down 12.7%, pending sales down 22.0%.

More looking, less signing.

Line chart of the rolling 12-month median single-family price in metro Atlanta, January 2019 to September 2026. It rises to about $420,000 by 2024 and stays flat: $420,000 in September 2025, $420,060 in September 2026.

$420,000 a year ago, $420,060 now.

Your market

Metro first, then your county. If you gave me your zip, the card below is already yours.

Metro Atlanta this month

Metric

This month

vs last year

Median sale price

$420,060

+0.0%

Closings

3,322

-12.7%

Median days on market

50 days

+2 days

Price-cut share

50.3%

first month tracked

Months of supply

3.9

+0.1

Balanced, leaning toward buyers. 3.9 months of supply still reads as a seller's market, but only 17.5% of homes for sale went under contract in September (on today's count).

Want your county's numbers here?

You're seeing the metro view because I don't have your zip code yet. Add it once and every issue opens with your county's actual numbers, not the metro average. Hit "manage your preferences" at the bottom of this email. Takes ten seconds.

Want to go deeper than your county? Your zip's full report is one click away.

The Scoreboard

Three readings that show what it actually takes to get a home under contract right now. Resale single family, metro Atlanta.

Reading 1: Showings. The typical resale listing got 2.4 showings in September. The homes that went under contract took 9.9. At 2.4 a month, that's about four months of showings. Back in September 2021 it took about the same number (9.4), but listings were getting 5.6 a month, so it took less than two.

Two lines, January 2019 to September 2026, resale single family: showings needed to go pending (now 9.9) and showings per listing per month (now 2.4).

9.9 showings to go pending, at 2.4 a month.

Reading 2: The price cut that works. Half of active resale listings have cut, by 6.0% on average. More than half of the homes that went under contract (55.8%) never cut at all. The ones that did averaged 7.2%, about 1.2 points deeper than the sellers still sitting.

Your county, Readings 1 and 2. The same two readings for each of the 12 counties. Resale single family.

Showings

County

Showings to go pending

Months at that pace

Metro

9.9

4.1

Cherokee

3.6

2.8

Clayton

13.1

3.6

Cobb

6.9

4.1

DeKalb

14.8

5.1

Douglas

8.8

3.7

Fayette

10.6

3.5

Forsyth

6.4

4.3

Fulton

6.3

2.9

Gwinnett

7.4

3.4

Henry

19.4

6.1

Paulding

5.2

3.1

Rockdale

10

3.3

Price cuts

County

Average cut, still listed

Average cut, went pending

Metro

6.0%

7.2%

Cherokee

5.2%

6.1%

Clayton

7.6%

8.6%

Cobb

5.5%

7.1%

DeKalb

6.7%

8.2%

Douglas

5.9%

6.1%

Fayette

5.9%

8.4%

Forsyth

5.2%

6.2%

Fulton

7.4%

8.3%

Gwinnett

5.1%

6.1%

Henry

5.8%

7.2%

Paulding

5.3%

7.5%

Rockdale

6.8%

7.5%

Henry took the most: 19.4 showings, about six months at its pace. Cherokee took the fewest: 3.6, under three months. Paulding has the biggest gap between the cut sellers have made and the cut that got homes under contract, 5.3% against 7.5%. Fayette's gap looks bigger, but it rests on just 22 contracts. Showings are logged differently from county to county, so read the showings columns as directional.

Showings: GAMLS, September. Price cuts: FMLS, active listings on Oct 10 against listings that went under contract Sep 1 to Oct 15.

Reading 3: The cost of waiting. Resale homes that sold in September, by how long they sat on the market:

Median sale price as a share of the original list price for resale homes sold in September, by days on market: first week 100%, day 8 to 30 98%, day 31 to 60 95%, after 60 days 93%.

7 points between the first week and day 61.

Days on market

Share of sales

Sale vs original list

0 to 7

21.4%

100%

8 to 30

26.8%

98%

31 to 60

19.2%

95%

61+

32.6%

93%

First week to 61+ days is 7 points. On a $420,000 house, that's $29,400. Call it $29,000.

Seller-paid costs. 68.7% of single-family sales in September had seller-paid costs, typically $9,390. Highest: Henry (82.4%) and Paulding (80.5%). Lowest: Cherokee (58.5%).

Zip Watch

Single-family sales in September, zips with at least 15 sales. Median days on market, and the median sale price as a share of the original list price.

Median days on market in September for seven zips with 15 or more sales. Moving fast: 30338 Dunwoody 4 days, 30068 East Cobb 12, 30144 Kennesaw 14. Sitting: 30316 East Atlanta 76, 30052 Loganville 67, 30019 Dacula 61, 30135 Douglasville 61.

Three zips moving fast, four where homes are sitting.

Moving fast

Zip

Sales

Days

Sale vs list

30338 Dunwoody

22

4

100%

30068 East Cobb

28

12

98%

30144 Kennesaw

46

14

97%

Sitting

Zip

Sales

Days

Sale vs list

30316 East Atlanta

33

76

95%

30052 Loganville

31

67

96%

30019 Dacula

56

61

96%

30135 Douglasville

47

61

97%

Same metro, same month: one zip sold in 4 days, another took 76. That's why the metro average doesn't tell you a whole lot about your house. Your zip does.

More zips

Add these to the seven above and you have the 15 fastest and 15 slowest of the 85 zips with at least 15 sales in September.

More moving fast

Zip

Sales

Days

Sale vs list

30083 Stone Mountain

18

12

100%

30038 Lithonia

20

13

99%

30238 Jonesboro

23

16

100%

30094 Conyers

23

16

98%

30106 Austell

15

18

100%

30034 Decatur

19

18

98%

30075 Roswell

45

19

98%

30236 Jonesboro

16

22

98.5%

30013 Conyers

15

22

100%

30252 McDonough

17

23

99%

30294 Ellenwood

16

24

98%

30189 Woodstock

30

24

96.5%

More sitting

Zip

Sales

Days

Sale vs list

30067 Marietta

21

78

95%

30012 Conyers

24

77

94%

30107 Ball Ground

22

62

96.5%

30134 Douglasville

24

62

95.5%

30114 Canton

53

60

97%

30187 Winston

17

60

97%

30060 Marietta

15

59

97%

30132 Dallas

66

58

97%

30228 Hampton

22

56

97.5%

30009 Alpharetta

15

55

90%

30127 Powder Springs

49

55

97%

The play

If you're buying: Before you make an offer, have your agent ask the listing agent how many showings and offers they’ve had. Lots of showings and no offers means you've got leverage. Take a hard look at anything past 60 days, and ask for seller-paid closing costs, then ask your lender what that money buys you on the rate.

If you're selling: Price for week one. The homes that sold in their first week got their full original price. If you cut, make it count: about 7% is what got homes under contract, and a 1 to 2% nibble just adds days. Before you cut, ask whether a credit gets you there instead.

If you're waiting: Prices are flat, not falling. And right now sellers are paying buyers to show up. When rates come down and the crowd comes back, that help tends to go away.

Want to run your own numbers?

Everything above is the metro, the counties and a handful of zips. Your house, or the one you have your eye on, is a little bit different.

So if you're thinking about buying or selling in the next year, let's look at your numbers together: your zip, your price range, your timing, and what it would actually take to get it done in this market. No pressure, and no obligation to work with us.

From the channel

Sales just hit their lowest September since 2013, but the buyers didn't leave. In this month's video I break down why, and what's actually getting homes under contract.

One more thing

Reply with your zip, and I'll tell you if it's in next month's Zip Watch.

See you next month. Reply anytime, I read them.

Terence

Sources: GAMLS InfoSparks for every market figure (12 core metro Atlanta counties, single family, September 2026; medians, days on market and months of supply are rolling 12 months; September pending sales are still being entered). FMLS for listing-level detail: price cuts, seller-paid costs and Zip Watch. Freddie Mac PMMS for rates.